series · 6 essays
The Human Bargain
The AI productivity story keeps getting told without the people in it. These six essays are about the bargain builders owe the humans whose careers the technology reshapes: honest language, honest math, and operating models that spend the gains deliberately.
The argument opens with the narratives, because both popular frames for AI and jobs serve the companies selling the technology. Builders own that trust deficit, and the essays work from rhetoric toward operations: the layoff math that stops adding up as the subsidy ends, the reorg that should restructure the work before it touches people, and the shift of durable advantage toward judgment. The closing essay lands on the training system: entry-level work was never just cheap execution, and automating it away eats the seed corn.
The thesis behind this thread lives on the Point of View page as "Builders owe a bargain." Read the essays in order; each one raises the stakes of the one before it.
reading order
The essays
- 01The Companies Spending the Most on AI Have the Most to Gain From Convincing You It Will Take Your Job3 min read
The frames examined: inevitability and competition both serve the vendor, and neither survives contact with demand.
- 02AI Populism is a Builder's Problem6 min read
The stakes: sociopolitical alignment is part of the engineering problem, and builders set the language.
- 03The Subsidy and the Severance13 min read
The math: AI's free-lunch phase is ending, which makes AI-driven layoff math harder to defend.
- 04Your First AI Reorg Should Be the Work, Not the People12 min read
The operating move: redesign workflows, decision rights, and evaluation loops first, and let the org chart follow.
- 05The More AI We Have, the More Human Judgment Matters7 min read
The shift: as execution becomes abundant, durable advantage moves to judgment, context, and verification.
- 06Don't Automate the Apprenticeship Out of Engineering23 min read
The long game: entry-level work was the training system that produced the judgment everything else now depends on.
supporting reads
Around the spine
- Work Is Hard Enough
The leadership floor: remove the avoidable human drag before asking anyone to absorb an AI transition too.
- Still in the Code
The practice: staying hands-on because secondhand models of the work cannot keep up with how fast it changes.